Hivemind AGORA: Collective Intelligence


AGORA is a software platform that allows you to elicit and aggregate the judgments of many individuals into consensus forecasts that are actionable and accountable and which can evolve as new information becomes available.

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Use cases

Sales forecasting

Sales forecasting

Ford, Nokia and Hewlett Packard are among the many companies who have used internal prediction markets to forecast sales. Prediction markets can uncover information that might not otherwise be available to the sales forecasting team because it is distributed widely throughout the organisation. AGORA allows any business to take advantage of this approach.
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Project milestones and deadlines

Project milestones and deadlines

Google, Siemens and Microsoft have used internal prediction markets to forecast whether projects will meet their milestones and deadlines. AGORA allows businesses to anonymously capture knowledge about a project’s true progress.
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Research and development outcomes

Research and development outcomes

Global pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly, has used prediction markets to help predict which drugs under development might have the best chance of advancing through clinical trials. Prediction markets have also proved effective in forecasting whether experiments in social psychology were likely to replicate successfully. AGORA can help organisations make their R&D pipelines more efficient.
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Economic forecasting

Economic forecasting

Prediction markets have been used to predict nominal gross domestic product (NGDP) and other macroeconomic variables. AGORA can allow market-driven information discovery where traditional markets don’t exist.
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Physical and natural systems

Physical and natural systems

Prediction markets involving climate and weather experts have been used to forecast weather and climate variables on weekly and monthly timescales. If your organisation has access to relevant experts, AGORA can consolidate their insight into a consensus forecast.
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