AGORA use case: Predicting COVID-19 25 Feb 2021 Problem The COVID-19 pandemic began early in 2020 as the SARS-Cov-2 virus, that causes the...
AGORA use case: Crop yield forecasting 25 Feb 2021 Problem How much of a given crop is likely to be produced by a country is of interest to i...
AGORA use case: Predicting hurricanes 25 Feb 2021 Problem The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June to November. On average, 6 hurricanes...
Prediction markets are not a free lunch 14 Dec 2020 Participants in prediction markets should be a source of information, not money Prediction...
How good are AGORA forecasts? (continued) 08 Dec 2020 How good are AGORA forecasts? (continued) AGORA prediction markets assimilate new informat...
AGORA hurricane prediction markets settled 04 Dec 2020 On November 30 the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season came to an end and Hivemind settled pred...
How good are AGORA forecasts? 23 Nov 2020 How good are AGORA forecasts? An analysis of forecasts produced by Hivemind’s AGORA predi...
65 percent chance another hurricane will make US l... 15 Oct 2020 During the evening of Friday 9th October Hurricane Delta made landfall on the coast of Lou...
The dangers of using the wrong tool for the job 14 Oct 2020 Last week it was reported that an “IT glitch” led to 15,841 positive COVID tests being los...
The build versus buy dilemma 13 Oct 2020 The buy versus build dilemma in software is often said to be as old as commercial software...
Client interview with David Hunt, IHS Markit 07 Oct 2020 Since spinning out of a global investment management company two years ago, it's been rea...
Announcing the Sept 2020 Covid-19 prediction marke... 05 Oct 2020 We have been working in conjunction with Lloyd’s Lab to investigate the use of prediction...
